Manuscript Title:

GEOSPATIAL INSIGHTS INTO SUGARCANE CULTIVATION: COMPARING FAO SUITABILITY WITH LOCAL TRENDS IN PUNJAB, PAKISTAN

Author:

JAHANZAIB SOHAIL RANA, SAJID RASHEED AHMED, ATHER ASHRAF, FAHD RASUL

DOI Number:

DOI:10.5281/zenodo.14058667

Published : 2024-10-10

About the author(s)

1. JAHANZAIB SOHAIL RANA - University of the Punjab, Pakistan.
2. SAJID RASHEED AHMED - University of the Punjab, Pakistan.
3. ATHER ASHRAF - University of the Punjab, Pakistan.
4. FAHD RASUL - University of Agriculture Faisalabad Pakistan.

Full Text : PDF

Abstract

This study provides a comprehensive geospatial analysis of sugarcane cultivation in Punjab, Pakistan, comparing the FAO suitability assessments with local agricultural trends. Utilizing satellite imagery, GIS tools, and climate data, the study identifies key areas of discrepancy between global suitability models and local practices. The findings reveal that while the FAO assessments provide a broad understanding of suitable cultivation zones, local trends often diverge due to socio-economic and infrastructural factors. Therefore, in this research current sugarcane cultivation patterns are assessed and compared to the FAO Recommended Sugarcane Suitable Area (RSSA) to analyse how much current crop practices are diverted from suitability regions. The research findings indicate that the FAO recommended suitable zone for sugarcane cultivation covers 1,745,713 acres, whereas only 637,230 acres are followed by farmers. Which is only 3.3%. Indicating that most farmers grow sugarcane in unsuitable areas. 529037 acers where FAO not recommended but farmer grown, 1687143 acers where FAO recommended but farmer not grown. Historical trend analysis identifies districts deviating from FAO recommendations, affecting crop yields. Eight districts consistently exceed the baseline, seven fall below it, and three have inconsistent behaviour. This research underscores the need for localized agricultural strategies that align more closely with ground realities. The implications of this study are sig


Keywords

GEOSPATIAL INSIGHTS INTO SUGARCANE CULTIVATION: COMPARING FAO SUITABILITY WITH LOCAL TRENDS IN PUNJAB, PAKISTAN